GO Ahead Eagles vs Telstar: model vs market
| Source | GO Ahead Eagles | Draw | Telstar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50% | 22% | 28% |
| Market | 60% | 22% | 18% |
| Published | 58% | 22% | 21% |
| Edge | -3% | 0% | +3% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.21 vs 1.66.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.
GO Ahead Eagles vs Telstar odds movement
Median bookmaker price on GO Ahead Eagles, 25 snapshots since 2026-10-11.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| GO Ahead Eagles | 1.50 | 1.56 | +0.06 |
| Draw | 4.33 | 4.38 | +0.05 |
| Telstar | 5.50 | 5.20 | -0.30 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
GO Ahead Eagles and Telstar expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.87
- Attack rating (GO Ahead Eagles / Telstar)
- 1.11 / 0.87
- Defence rating (GO Ahead Eagles / Telstar)
- 1.27 / 1.10
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
GO Ahead Eagles vs Telstar score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: GO Ahead Eagles goals. Columns: Telstar goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
GO Ahead Eagles vs Telstar goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 73%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for GO Ahead Eagles vs Telstar
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | GO Ahead Eagles | 58% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.63 | |
| Telstar | 21% | 4.83 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74% | 1.35 |
| Under 2.5 | 26% | 3.89 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73% | 1.37 |
| No | 27% | 3.69 | |
| Double chance | 1X (GO Ahead Eagles or draw) | 79% | 1.26 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.28 | |
| X2 (draw or Telstar) | 42% | 2.36 | |
| Handicap -1 | GO Ahead Eagles win by 2+ | 30% | 3.30 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
GO Ahead Eagles and Telstar recent form
GO Ahead Eagles
0W 4D 2L
Telstar
0W 3D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
GO Ahead Eagles at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-0
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 2.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
Telstar away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: GO Ahead Eagles at home only, Telstar away only.
Injuries & availability
GO Ahead Eagles absences
-
P. Saathof
knee injury
Telstar absences
- R. Mendes inactive
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider; confirmed line-ups appear about 40 minutes before kick-off.
Expected lineups
GO Ahead Eagles lineup · 4-2-3-1
- 1 K. Haug
- 5 D. James
- 4 J. Kramer
- 26 J. Dirksen
- 2 A. Sampsted
- 8 E. Linthorst
- 21 M. Meulensteen
- 17 M. Suray
- 16 V. Edvardsen
- 10 S. Tengstedt
- 11 O. Sivertsen
Bench: G. Nauber, T. Jukić, S. Sigurðarson, R. Weijenberg, R. Margaret, T. Baeten, J. Cillessen, G. van Zwam, Tomas Galvez, E. Flataker, N. Verdoni, Y. Rahmouni
Telstar lineup · 3-4-2-1
- 1 R. Koeman
- 43 M. Peersman
- 4 A. Soualhia
- 16 S. Valk
- 23 N. Shenkman
- 10 T. Owusu
- 17 N. Rossen
- 18 G. Caschili
- 27 P. Brouwer
- 42 A. Martha
- 11 N. Þórisson
Bench: J. Hardeveld, P. Aning, Isaiah Ahmed, Rui Mendes, E. Demircan, Jelani Seedorf, Finn Mulder, H. Kuster, D. Reiziger, F. Turay, R. Oudsten
GO Ahead Eagles vs Telstar head-to-head
Last 9 meetings: GO Ahead Eagles 4 · draws 2 · Telstar 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-08 | GO Ahead Eagles | 1-1 | Telstar | Eredivisie |
| 2026-02-05 | Telstar | 2-1 | GO Ahead Eagles | KNVB Beker |
| 2025-09-28 | Telstar | 4-2 | GO Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie |
| 2024-07-03 | GO Ahead Eagles | 3-0 | Telstar | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2021-02-13 | GO Ahead Eagles | 1-0 | Telstar | Eerste Divisie |
| 2020-11-10 | Telstar | 1-2 | GO Ahead Eagles | Eerste Divisie |
| 2020-08-02 | GO Ahead Eagles | 0-0 | Telstar | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2019-11-17 | Telstar | 0-2 | GO Ahead Eagles | Eerste Divisie |
| 2019-04-01 | GO Ahead Eagles | 2-3 | Telstar | Eerste Divisie |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle 2026-10-24
- Willem II v Cambuur — match page 2026-10-24
- ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior 2026-10-25
- PSV Eindhoven v Feyenoord — match page 2026-10-25
- NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax 2026-10-25
- AZ Alkmaar v Twente — match page 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- GO Ahead Eagles, previous: PEC Zwolle vs GO Ahead Eagles: odds and pick
- GO Ahead Eagles, next: Cambuur vs GO Ahead Eagles prediction
- Telstar, previous: Telstar – Feyenoord, 2026-10-17
- Telstar, next: Telstar vs Utrecht: odds and pick