Cambuur vs GO Ahead Eagles: model vs market
| Source | Cambuur | Draw | GO Ahead Eagles |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50% | 20% | 30% |
| Market | 36% | 24% | 39% |
| Published | 40% | 23% | 37% |
| Edge | +3% | -1% | -2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.51 vs 1.95.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Cambuur below our published probability: +3.3 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.
Cambuur vs GO Ahead Eagles odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Cambuur, 24 snapshots since 2026-10-20.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cambuur | 3.17 | 2.58 | -0.59 |
| Draw | 3.83 | 3.85 | +0.03 |
| GO Ahead Eagles | 2.00 | 2.41 | +0.41 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Cambuur and GO Ahead Eagles expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.45
- Attack rating (Cambuur / GO Ahead Eagles)
- 1.18 / 1.34
- Defence rating (Cambuur / GO Ahead Eagles)
- 0.96 / 1.18
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Cambuur vs GO Ahead Eagles score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Cambuur goals. Columns: GO Ahead Eagles goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Cambuur vs GO Ahead Eagles goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 79%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Cambuur vs GO Ahead Eagles
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cambuur | 40% | 2.52 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.28 | |
| GO Ahead Eagles | 37% | 2.71 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 82% | 1.22 |
| Under 2.5 | 18% | 5.59 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 79% | 1.26 |
| No | 21% | 4.85 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Cambuur or draw) | 63% | 1.59 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| X2 (draw or GO Ahead Eagles) | 60% | 1.66 | |
| Handicap -1 | Cambuur win by 2+ | 32% | 3.14 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Cambuur and GO Ahead Eagles recent form
Cambuur
4W 2D 0L
GO Ahead Eagles
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Cambuur at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-3
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 3.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game on the road against 1.6 at home.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
GO Ahead Eagles away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-3-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.80
- Goals against / match
- 3.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
League matches this season before kick-off: Cambuur at home only, GO Ahead Eagles away only.
Injuries & availability
Cambuur absences
- B. van Duijl inactive
-
D. Visser
knee injury
- J. Amofa injury
-
W. Asselman
injury
GO Ahead Eagles absences
-
P. Saathof
knee injury
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider; confirmed line-ups appear about 40 minutes before kick-off.
Expected lineups
Cambuur lineup · 4-2-3-1
- 1 T. Jansen
- 28 M. Costarelli
- 14 B. van Duijl
- 4 I. Baouf
- 2 D. Bouah
- 8 N. Souren
- 33 M. Maertens
- 11 I. Hamache
- 10 R. El Arguioui
- 30 J. Çeka
- 13 N. Binder
Bench: J. Berkhout, S. Bouhoudane, S. Vink, F. Kvam, R. Mulders, Ethan Apkakou, Daan Visser, L. Plogmann, L. Jetten, M. Kalisvaart, W. Kooistra, Iwan Henstra
GO Ahead Eagles lineup · 4-2-3-1
- 24 J. Cillessen
- 5 D. James
- 4 J. Kramer
- 26 J. Dirksen
- 2 A. Sampsted
- 8 E. Linthorst
- 21 M. Meulensteen
- 17 M. Suray
- 10 S. Tengstedt
- 11 O. Sivertsen
- 16 V. Edvardsen
Bench: K. Haug, G. Nauber, T. Jukić, S. Sigurðarson, R. Weijenberg, R. Margaret, T. Baeten, G. van Zwam, Tomas Galvez, E. Flataker, N. Verdoni, Y. Rahmouni
Cambuur vs GO Ahead Eagles head-to-head
Last 9 meetings: Cambuur 3 · draws 3 · GO Ahead Eagles 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-03-05 | Cambuur | 4-1 | GO Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie |
| 2022-10-09 | GO Ahead Eagles | 0-0 | Cambuur | Eredivisie |
| 2022-03-19 | GO Ahead Eagles | 3-0 | Cambuur | Eredivisie |
| 2021-09-11 | Cambuur | 5-2 | GO Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie |
| 2021-03-12 | GO Ahead Eagles | 0-0 | Cambuur | Eerste Divisie |
| 2020-12-17 | Cambuur | 1-2 | GO Ahead Eagles | KNVB Beker |
| 2020-09-11 | Cambuur | 0-2 | GO Ahead Eagles | Eerste Divisie |
| 2019-08-16 | Cambuur | 5-0 | GO Ahead Eagles | Eerste Divisie |
| 2019-01-28 | Cambuur | 1-1 | GO Ahead Eagles | Eerste Divisie |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II 2026-10-31
- Heerenveen v NEC Nijmegen — match page 2026-10-31
- Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- PEC Zwolle v ADO Den Haag — match page 2026-11-01
- Excelsior vs Twente — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Telstar vs Utrecht 2026-11-01
- Groningen v Sparta Rotterdam — match page 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Cambuur, previous: Willem II – Cambuur, 2026-10-24
- Cambuur, next: Cambuur vs PSV Eindhoven prediction
- GO Ahead Eagles, previous: GO Ahead Eagles vs Telstar: odds and pick
- GO Ahead Eagles, next: Excelsior – GO Ahead Eagles, 2026-11-07