Updated

Süper Lig · Matchday 10

Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Alanyaspor

· Eryaman Stadium, Ankara· Referee F. Tokail

Full time5 – 0

TipsterGrid prediction was Alanyaspor to win

Cblended with market oddsMissed

Predicted score 0 – 1

11% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Gençlerbirliği S.K.DrawAlanyaspor

Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Alanyaspor: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceGençlerbirliği S.K.DrawAlanyaspor
Model30%31%39%
Market36%29%36%
Published35%29%36%
Edge-1%0%+1%
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Alanyaspor odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Alanyaspor, 14 snapshots since 2026-10-27.

Opened 2.50Now 2.62 +0.12
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Gençlerbirliği S.K.2.702.60-0.10
Draw3.253.27+0.02
Alanyaspor2.502.62+0.12

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Gençlerbirliği S.K. and Alanyaspor expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.08Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.26Alanyaspor
Total expected goals
2.35
Attack rating (Gençlerbirliği S.K. / Alanyaspor)
0.73 / 0.81
Defence rating (Gençlerbirliği S.K. / Alanyaspor)
1.28 / 0.99

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Alanyaspor score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 10.9% 10.8% 7.7% 3.2% 1.3% 1 9.0% 14.4% 8.3% 3.5% 1.5% 2 5.6% 7.1% 4.5% 1.9% 0.8% 3 2.0% 2.6% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3% 4+ 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%

Rows: Gençlerbirliği S.K. goals. Columns: Alanyaspor goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Alanyaspor goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 89%
Over 1.5 69%
Over 2.5 42%
Over 3.5 21%
Both teams to score
49%
No goals (0–0)
11%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Alanyaspor

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Gençlerbirliği S.K.35%2.90
Draw29%3.45
Alanyaspor36%2.74
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.542%2.40
Under 2.558%1.71
Both teams to scoreYes49%2.05
No51%1.95
Double chance1X (Gençlerbirliği S.K. or draw)64%1.57
12 (either side)71%1.41
X2 (draw or Alanyaspor)65%1.53
Handicap -1Alanyaspor win by 2+18%5.55
Push (exactly one goal)21%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Gençlerbirliği S.K. and Alanyaspor recent form

Gençlerbirliği S.K. 0W 1D 5L
Alanyaspor 2W 2D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Gençlerbirliği S.K. at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-2-2
Win rate
20%
Goals for / match
1.20
Goals against / match
1.40
Clean sheets
0 of 5
  • They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.

Alanyaspor away

Record (W-D-L)
2-1-2
Win rate
40%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
1.40
Clean sheets
1 of 5
  • They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Gençlerbirliği S.K. at home only, Alanyaspor away only.

Injuries & availability

Gençlerbirliği S.K. absences

  • D. Goutas injury
  • K. Rodrigues muscle injury
  • O. Diabate yellow cards
  • P. Etebo inactive
  • P. Pereira injury

Alanyaspor absences

  • F. Aksoy injury
  • P. Fernandes injury

Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider; confirmed line-ups appear about 40 minutes before kick-off.

Expected lineups

Gençlerbirliği S.K. lineup · 4-1-4-1

  1. 70 İrfan Can Eğribayat
  2. 2 Thalisson
  3. 90 Metehan Baltacı
  4. 3 Yiğit Hamza Aydar
  5. 15 Arda Cagan Celik
  6. 19 Cheikh Niasse
  7. 7 Tiago Gouveia
  8. 10 Franco Tongya
  9. 35 Oğulcan Ülgün
  10. 14 Adama Malouda Traoré
  11. 9 Pedro Mendes

Bench: Victor Orakpo, Gökhan Akkan, Prince Martor, Salih Uçan, Göktug Erdem, Bilal Sari, Abdurrahim Dursun, Rafael Luis, Fıratcan Üzüm, Ayaz Özcan

Alanyaspor lineup · 3-5-2

  1. 48 Paulo Victor
  2. 4 Bedirhan Özyurt
  3. 5 Fidan Aliti
  4. 3 Nuno Lima
  5. 11 Ruan Pereira Duarte
  6. 55 Baran Ali Gezek
  7. 58 Maestro
  8. 42 Gaius Makouta
  9. 94 Florent Hadergjonaj
  10. 19 Iván Cédric
  11. 7 Ibrahim Kaya

Bench: Enes Keskin, Omar Ben Ali, Ianis Hagi, Meschak Elia, Emre Demir, Hwang Ui-Jo, Arda Usluoğlu, Mert Furkan Bayram, İzzet Çelik, Yusuf Özdemir

Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Alanyaspor head-to-head

Last 9 meetings: Gençlerbirliği S.K. 3 · draws 3 · Alanyaspor 3.

Gençlerbirliği S.K.DrawsAlanyaspor
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-03-09Alanyaspor0-0Gençlerbirliği S.K.Süper Lig
2025-10-04Gençlerbirliği S.K.2-2AlanyasporSüper Lig
2021-04-04Alanyaspor1-2Gençlerbirliği S.K.Süper Lig
2020-12-05Gençlerbirliği S.K.2-1AlanyasporSüper Lig
2020-02-16Alanyaspor0-1Gençlerbirliği S.K.Süper Lig
2019-09-22Gençlerbirliği S.K.1-1AlanyasporSüper Lig
2018-03-04Gençlerbirliği S.K.0-1AlanyasporSüper Lig
2017-10-01Alanyaspor4-1Gençlerbirliği S.K.Süper Lig
2017-02-11Alanyaspor3-0Gençlerbirliği S.K.Süper Lig

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Before and after this match