Updated

Süper Lig · Matchday 10

Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK

· Papara Park, Trabzon· Referee A. B. Taskinsoy

Full time2 – 0

TipsterGrid prediction was Trabzonspor to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 2 – 0

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
TrabzonsporDrawGaziantep FK

Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceTrabzonsporDrawGaziantep FK
Model80%13%7%
Market75%15%11%
Published76%15%10%
Edge+1%0%-1%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.98 vs 0.85.
  • Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Trabzonspor, 13 snapshots since 2026-10-26.

Opened 1.43Now 1.27 -0.16
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Trabzonspor1.431.27-0.16
Draw4.906.33+1.42
Gaziantep FK6.809.00+2.20

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Trabzonspor and Gaziantep FK expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.98Trabzonspor
0.85Gaziantep FK
Total expected goals
3.83
Attack rating (Trabzonspor / Gaziantep FK)
1.57 / 0.77
Defence rating (Trabzonspor / Gaziantep FK)
0.90 / 1.28

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 2.7% 1.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 1 5.9% 6.0% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 2 9.7% 8.2% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 3 9.6% 8.1% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 4+ 15.0% 12.7% 5.3% 1.5% 0.4%

Rows: Trabzonspor goals. Columns: Gaziantep FK goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 97%
Over 1.5 90%
Over 2.5 74%
Over 3.5 53%
Both teams to score
55%
No goals (0–0)
3%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Trabzonspor76%1.32
Draw15%6.86
Gaziantep FK10%10.37
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.574%1.36
Under 2.526%3.78
Both teams to scoreYes55%1.82
No45%2.22
Double chance1X (Trabzonspor or draw)90%1.11
12 (either side)85%1.17
X2 (draw or Gaziantep FK)24%4.13
Handicap -1Trabzonspor win by 2+61%1.63
Push (exactly one goal)18%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Trabzonspor and Gaziantep FK recent form

Trabzonspor 6W 0D 0L
Gaziantep FK 1W 1D 4L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Trabzonspor at home

Record (W-D-L)
4-0-0
Win rate
100%
Goals for / match
3.25
Goals against / match
0.25
Clean sheets
3 of 4
  • They have won 6 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
  • They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Gaziantep FK away

Record (W-D-L)
2-0-2
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
1.50
Goals against / match
1.50
Clean sheets
1 of 4
  • They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.6 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
  • 62% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Trabzonspor at home only, Gaziantep FK away only.

Injuries & availability

Trabzonspor absences

  • A. Batagov knee injury
  • O. Cevikkan tendon injury
  • O. Yokuslu knee injury
  • P. Onuachu muscle injury
  • R. Malinovskyi knee injury

Gaziantep FK absences

  • F. Bavuk hamstring injury
  • M. Abena yellow cards
  • N. Sangare back injury
  • U. Meleke injury

Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider; confirmed line-ups appear about 40 minutes before kick-off.

Expected lineups

Trabzonspor lineup · 4-1-4-1

  1. 24 André Onana
  2. 55 Sidny Lopes Cabral
  3. 15 Stefan Savić
  4. 27 Chibuike Nwaiwu
  5. 20 Wagner Pina
  6. 6 Fabinho
  7. 70 Noah Saviolo
  8. 7 Ernest Muçi
  9. 57 Melih Kabasakal
  10. 10 Mohamed Salah
  11. 30 Paul Onuachu

Bench: Ahmet Doğan Yıldırım, Samet Akaydın, Ozan Tufan, Umut Nayir, Mustafa Eskihellaç, Tim Jabol-Folcarelli, Cenk Özkaçar, Metehan Mimaroğlu, Erol Can Çolak, Ali Habeşoğlu

Gaziantep FK lineup · 4-1-4-1

  1. 35 Ataberk Dadakdeniz
  2. 23 Kerim Çalhanoğlu
  3. 5 Efe Sarıkaya
  4. 21 Abakar Sylla
  5. 2 Luis Pérez
  6. 7 Juninho Bacuna
  7. 10 Kacper Kozłowski
  8. 3 Drissa Camara
  9. 8 Gidado Victor Ntino-Emo
  10. 18 Deian Sorescu
  11. 9 Trivante Stewart

Bench: Mirza Cihan, Karamba Gassama, Halil Dervişoğlu, Alexandru Maxim, Ali Osman Kalın, Sabahattin Destici, Cemilhan Aslan, Mervan Müjdeci

Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK head-to-head

Last 9 meetings: Trabzonspor 6 · draws 3 · Gaziantep FK 0.

TrabzonsporDrawsGaziantep FK
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-02-22Gaziantep FK1-2TrabzonsporSüper Lig
2025-09-20Trabzonspor1-1Gaziantep FKSüper Lig
2025-02-23Trabzonspor3-2Gaziantep FKSüper Lig
2024-09-23Gaziantep FK0-0TrabzonsporSüper Lig
2024-04-28Trabzonspor4-2Gaziantep FKSüper Lig
2023-12-10Gaziantep FK1-3TrabzonsporSüper Lig
2022-09-18Trabzonspor3-2Gaziantep FKSüper Lig
2022-04-09Gaziantep FK0-0TrabzonsporSüper Lig
2021-11-22Trabzonspor3-0Gaziantep FKSüper Lig

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Before and after this match