Updated

Flag of Portugal

Europe · 2026/27 season

Portugal football predictions

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover in Portugal — 1 competition, 18 clubs, 82 fixtures predicted so far this season. Built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

Competitions 1 covered in Portugal
Teams 18 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 90 of 306 scheduled this season
Upcoming fixtures 60 in our publication window

Next fixtures in Portugal

1 fixture on 6 November 2026 — every row opens the full prediction

All fixtures
Fixtures in Portugal with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeOursMarketConf.Best odds
Famalicao vs AroucaPrimeira LigaC Primeira Liga FamalicaoOur prob 42%Best odds 2.11 -4% 42% 46% C 2.11

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

Portugal — country trends

How matches actually ended in the 2026/27 across Portugal’s covered competitions: 90 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 40% 36 of 90 matches -1 pts vs 2025/26 (308)
Away wins 39% 35 of 90 matches +7 pts vs 2025/26 (308)
Over 2.5 goals 54% 49 of 90 matches +1 pts vs 2025/26 (308)
Both teams scored 47% 42 of 90 matches -1 pts vs 2025/26 (308)

Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (308 played matches).

Competitions in Portugal

1 competition covered — squad size, matches played this season and fixtures inside our publication window.

All competitions

Played / scheduled count this season’s matches; Upcoming counts the fixtures currently inside our publication window.

Top teams in Portugal by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

#1
Net rating
+1.40
Attack
2.29
Defence
0.89
Form NextEstrela (A) · 8 Nov
#4
Net rating
+0.50
Attack
1.58
Defence
1.07
Form NextFamalicao (A) · 6 Nov

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Recent results in Portugal

What happened next to what we predicted