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Double Chance Football Predictions

Double chance folds two of the three 1X2 outcomes into one bet: 1X, 12 or X2. Each probability is the exact sum of the two matching 1X2 numbers we already publish, so shorter prices for a smaller edge — the safety is real, the extra insight is not.

Fixtures priced 56 with a published analysis page · 52 more later this season
Kicking off today 5 of those fixtures, UTC date
Average probability 78% model probability of the selection we name
Strongest selection 94% highest probability in this market

Market picks

56 fixtures with a published Double Chance number — every row opens the full prediction; 52 more are scheduled and get a page as they approach.

Fixtures with our Double Chance selection and its model probability
Match League SelectionOur prob Conf.
AC Milan vs BolognaSerie AOur call: AC Milan or draw Serie A AC Milan or draw79% A
Venezia vs InterSerie AOur call: Draw or Inter Serie A Draw or Inter86% A
Parma Calcio 1913 vs UdineseSerie AOur call: Parma Calcio 1913 or Udinese Serie A Parma Calcio 1913 or Udinese70% A
Genoa vs JuventusSerie AOur call: Draw or Juventus Serie A Draw or Juventus83% A
Monza vs NapoliSerie AOur call: Monza or Napoli Serie A Monza or Napoli76% A
Frosinone vs LecceSerie AOur call: Frosinone or Lecce Serie A Frosinone or Lecce78% A
Fiorentina vs AtalantaSerie AOur call: Fiorentina or Atalanta Serie A Fiorentina or Atalanta74% A
Le Havre vs Paris Saint GermainLigue 1Our call: Draw or Paris Saint Germain Ligue 1 Draw or Paris Saint Germain88% A
SV Elversberg vs Mainz 05BundesligaOur call: SV Elversberg or Mainz 05 Bundesliga SV Elversberg or Mainz 0576% B
Villarreal vs EspanyolLa LigaOur call: Villarreal or draw La Liga Villarreal or draw87% A
Lille vs LensLigue 1Our call: Lille or Lens Ligue 1 Lille or Lens74% A
Chelsea vs Manchester UnitedPremier LeagueOur call: Chelsea or draw Premier League Chelsea or draw77% A
Levante vs Atletico MadridLa LigaOur call: Draw or Atletico Madrid La Liga Draw or Atletico Madrid79% A
Bologna vs MonzaSerie AOur call: Bologna or draw Serie A Bologna or draw75% A
Marseille vs ToulouseLigue 1Our call: Marseille or Toulouse Ligue 1 Marseille or Toulouse76% A
Strasbourg vs AuxerreLigue 1Our call: Strasbourg or Auxerre Ligue 1 Strasbourg or Auxerre76% A
Paris FC vs MonacoLigue 1Our call: Paris FC or Monaco Ligue 1 Paris FC or Monaco73% A
Werder Bremen vs HoffenheimBundesligaOur call: Werder Bremen or Hoffenheim Bundesliga Werder Bremen or Hoffenheim76% A
Borussia M.Gladbach vs SC Paderborn 07BundesligaOur call: Borussia M.Gladbach or SC Paderborn 07 Bundesliga Borussia M.Gladbach or SC Paderborn 0776% A
Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB StuttgartBundesligaOur call: Bayer Leverkusen or VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga Bayer Leverkusen or VfB Stuttgart78% A
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SVBundesligaOur call: Eintracht Frankfurt or draw Bundesliga Eintracht Frankfurt or draw80% A
Augsburg vs FreiburgBundesligaOur call: Augsburg or Freiburg Bundesliga Augsburg or Freiburg76% A
FC Schalke 04 vs RasenBallsport LeipzigBundesligaOur call: FC Schalke 04 or RasenBallsport Leipzig Bundesliga FC Schalke 04 or RasenBallsport Leipzig75% B
Union Berlin vs FC CologneBundesligaOur call: Union Berlin or FC Cologne Bundesliga Union Berlin or FC Cologne75% A
Bournemouth vs LeedsPremier LeagueOur call: Bournemouth or draw Premier League Bournemouth or draw78% A
Manchester City vs BrightonPremier LeagueOur call: Manchester City or Brighton Premier League Manchester City or Brighton78% A
Brentford vs Nottingham ForestPremier LeagueOur call: Brentford or Nottingham Forest Premier League Brentford or Nottingham Forest75% A
Hull City vs IpswichPremier LeagueOur call: Hull City or Ipswich Premier League Hull City or Ipswich73% A
Coventry vs SunderlandPremier LeagueOur call: Coventry or Sunderland Premier League Coventry or Sunderland72% A
Rayo Vallecano vs Celta VigoLa LigaOur call: Rayo Vallecano or draw La Liga Rayo Vallecano or draw71% A
Nice vs RennesLigue 1Our call: Nice or Rennes Ligue 1 Nice or Rennes75% A
Udinese vs RomaSerie AOur call: Draw or Roma Serie A Draw or Roma84% A
Real Betis vs MalagaLa LigaOur call: Real Betis or draw La Liga Real Betis or draw87% A
Tottenham vs Crystal PalacePremier LeagueOur call: Tottenham or draw Premier League Tottenham or draw81% A
Bayern Munich vs Borussia DortmundBundesligaOur call: Bayern Munich or draw Bundesliga Bayern Munich or draw84% B
AC Milan vs InterSerie AOur call: AC Milan or Inter Serie A AC Milan or Inter75% A
Lyon vs AngersLigue 1Our call: Lyon or draw Ligue 1 Lyon or draw85% B
Lorient vs BrestLigue 1Our call: Lorient or Brest Ligue 1 Lorient or Brest72% A
Estac Troyes vs Le MansLigue 1Our call: Estac Troyes or Le Mans Ligue 1 Estac Troyes or Le Mans74% A
Barcelona vs AlavesLa LigaOur call: Barcelona or draw La Liga Barcelona or draw94% A
Aston Villa vs FulhamPremier LeagueOur call: Aston Villa or Fulham Premier League Aston Villa or Fulham75% A
Lazio vs CagliariSerie AOur call: Lazio or draw Serie A Lazio or draw86% A
Sassuolo vs FiorentinaSerie AOur call: Sassuolo or Fiorentina Serie A Sassuolo or Fiorentina74% A
Juventus vs NapoliSerie AOur call: Juventus or draw Serie A Juventus or draw78% A
Atalanta vs Parma Calcio 1913Serie AOur call: Atalanta or draw Serie A Atalanta or draw85% A
Frosinone vs TorinoSerie AOur call: Frosinone or Torino Serie A Frosinone or Torino75% A
Lecce vs GenoaSerie AOur call: Lecce or Genoa Serie A Lecce or Genoa70% A
Como vs VeneziaSerie AOur call: Como or draw Serie A Como or draw87% A
Deportivo La Coruna vs OsasunaLa LigaOur call: Deportivo La Coruna or draw La Liga Deportivo La Coruna or draw75% A
Elche vs ValenciaLa LigaOur call: Elche or Valencia La Liga Elche or Valencia72% A
Getafe vs SevillaLa LigaOur call: Draw or Sevilla La Liga Draw or Sevilla69% A
Racing Santander vs Real MadridLa LigaOur call: Draw or Real Madrid La Liga Draw or Real Madrid86% A
Athletic Club vs Real SociedadLa LigaOur call: Athletic Club or Real Sociedad La Liga Athletic Club or Real Sociedad74% A
Liverpool vs ArsenalPremier LeagueOur call: Liverpool or Arsenal Premier League Liverpool or Arsenal73% B
Newcastle United vs EvertonPremier LeagueOur call: Newcastle United or Everton Premier League Newcastle United or Everton74% A
Deportivo La Coruna vs OsasunaLa LigaOur call: Deportivo La Coruna or draw La Liga Deportivo La Coruna or draw75% A

Our prob = the model probability of the selection named on that row. Grade A/B = the fixture is backed by both/one team’s xG record. These are exact sums of our 1X2 probabilities, so a double chance never contradicts the 1X2 page — it just covers two of its outcomes. No bookmaker prices are shown on this page: we only record odds for 1X2, so an edge for this market would be invented.

Probability distribution

56 priced fixtures · Double Chance

Each bar counts the fixtures whose top selection in this market falls in that probability band — the model’s own spread, not a forecast of how often it is right. Bands are 10 percentage points wide. 56 of 56 sit at 60% or higher.

Other markets for the same fixtures

Every market on this site is priced from one model, so these pages cover the same matches from a different angle.

All markets

Every probability on this page is produced by our own model — expected-goals team ratings turned into a Dixon-Coles scoreline grid, blended with de-vigged market odds where we record them. How our model works →