Market picks
56 fixtures with a published Goals number — every row opens the full prediction; 52 more are scheduled and get a page as they approach.
| Match | League | Highest odds-on line | Over 0.5 | Over 1.5 | Over 2.5 | Over 3.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan vs BolognaSerie AOur call: Over 2.5 goals · 69% | Serie A | Over 2.5 goals | 95% | 89% | 69% | 47% | A |
| Venezia vs InterSerie AOur call: Over 3.5 goals · 69% | Serie A | Over 3.5 goals | 98% | 96% | 85% | 69% | A |
| Parma Calcio 1913 vs UdineseSerie AOur call: Over 2.5 goals · 61% | Serie A | Over 2.5 goals | 94% | 84% | 61% | 38% | A |
| Genoa vs JuventusSerie AOur call: Over 1.5 goals · 74% | Serie A | Over 1.5 goals | 90% | 74% | 46% | 25% | A |
| Monza vs NapoliSerie AOur call: Over 3.5 goals · 57% | Serie A | Over 3.5 goals | 97% | 92% | 76% | 57% | A |
| Frosinone vs LecceSerie AOur call: Over 3.5 goals · 67% | Serie A | Over 3.5 goals | 98% | 95% | 84% | 67% | A |
| Fiorentina vs AtalantaSerie AOur call: Over 3.5 goals · 54% | Serie A | Over 3.5 goals | 96% | 92% | 75% | 54% | A |
| Le Havre vs Paris Saint GermainLigue 1Our call: Over 3.5 goals · 60% | Ligue 1 | Over 3.5 goals | 98% | 92% | 79% | 60% | A |
| SV Elversberg vs Mainz 05BundesligaOur call: Over 3.5 goals · 59% | Bundesliga | Over 3.5 goals | 97% | 93% | 78% | 59% | B |
| Villarreal vs EspanyolLa LigaOur call: Over 3.5 goals · 73% | La Liga | Over 3.5 goals | 99% | 96% | 87% | 73% | A |
| Lille vs LensLigue 1Our call: Over 2.5 goals · 63% | Ligue 1 | Over 2.5 goals | 96% | 84% | 63% | 41% | A |
| Chelsea vs Manchester UnitedPremier LeagueOur call: Over 3.5 goals · 56% | Premier League | Over 3.5 goals | 97% | 92% | 76% | 56% | A |
| Levante vs Atletico MadridLa LigaOur call: Over 3.5 goals · 53% | La Liga | Over 3.5 goals | 96% | 91% | 73% | 53% | A |
| Bologna vs MonzaSerie AOur call: Over 2.5 goals · 63% | Serie A | Over 2.5 goals | 94% | 86% | 63% | 41% | A |
| Marseille vs ToulouseLigue 1Our call: Over 2.5 goals · 66% | Ligue 1 | Over 2.5 goals | 96% | 86% | 66% | 44% | A |
| Strasbourg vs AuxerreLigue 1Our call: Over 2.5 goals · 56% | Ligue 1 | Over 2.5 goals | 94% | 79% | 56% | 34% | A |
| Paris FC vs MonacoLigue 1Our call: Over 2.5 goals · 50% | Ligue 1 | Over 2.5 goals | 93% | 75% | 50% | 28% | A |
| Werder Bremen vs HoffenheimBundesligaOur call: Over 2.5 goals · 68% | Bundesliga | Over 2.5 goals | 95% | 89% | 68% | 47% | A |
| Borussia M.Gladbach vs SC Paderborn 07BundesligaOur call: Over 2.5 goals · 69% | Bundesliga | Over 2.5 goals | 95% | 89% | 69% | 48% | A |
| Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB StuttgartBundesligaOur call: Over 3.5 goals · 54% | Bundesliga | Over 3.5 goals | 96% | 91% | 74% | 54% | A |
| Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SVBundesligaOur call: Over 3.5 goals · 55% | Bundesliga | Over 3.5 goals | 97% | 91% | 75% | 55% | A |
| Augsburg vs FreiburgBundesligaOur call: Over 3.5 goals · 62% | Bundesliga | Over 3.5 goals | 97% | 94% | 80% | 62% | A |
| FC Schalke 04 vs RasenBallsport LeipzigBundesligaOur call: Over 2.5 goals · 69% | Bundesliga | Over 2.5 goals | 95% | 89% | 69% | 47% | B |
| Union Berlin vs FC CologneBundesligaOur call: Over 2.5 goals · 71% | Bundesliga | Over 2.5 goals | 96% | 90% | 71% | 50% | A |
| Bournemouth vs LeedsPremier LeagueOur call: Over 3.5 goals · 54% | Premier League | Over 3.5 goals | 97% | 91% | 74% | 54% | A |
| Manchester City vs BrightonPremier LeagueOur call: Over 3.5 goals · 54% | Premier League | Over 3.5 goals | 97% | 91% | 74% | 54% | A |
| Brentford vs Nottingham ForestPremier LeagueOur call: Over 3.5 goals · 55% | Premier League | Over 3.5 goals | 97% | 91% | 75% | 55% | A |
| Hull City vs IpswichPremier LeagueOur call: Over 2.5 goals · 66% | Premier League | Over 2.5 goals | 95% | 87% | 66% | 44% | A |
| Coventry vs SunderlandPremier LeagueOur call: Over 2.5 goals · 60% | Premier League | Over 2.5 goals | 94% | 83% | 60% | 38% | A |
| Rayo Vallecano vs Celta VigoLa LigaOur call: Over 2.5 goals · 54% | La Liga | Over 2.5 goals | 92% | 80% | 54% | 31% | A |
| Nice vs RennesLigue 1Our call: Over 2.5 goals · 66% | Ligue 1 | Over 2.5 goals | 96% | 86% | 66% | 44% | A |
| Udinese vs RomaSerie AOur call: Over 3.5 goals · 72% | Serie A | Over 3.5 goals | 99% | 96% | 87% | 72% | A |
| Real Betis vs MalagaLa LigaOur call: Over 2.5 goals · 67% | La Liga | Over 2.5 goals | 95% | 88% | 67% | 46% | A |
| Tottenham vs Crystal PalacePremier LeagueOur call: Over 2.5 goals · 71% | Premier League | Over 2.5 goals | 96% | 89% | 71% | 50% | A |
| Bayern Munich vs Borussia DortmundBundesligaOur call: Over 2.5 goals · 63% | Bundesliga | Over 2.5 goals | 94% | 85% | 63% | 40% | B |
| AC Milan vs InterSerie AOur call: Over 3.5 goals · 63% | Serie A | Over 3.5 goals | 98% | 94% | 81% | 63% | A |
| Lyon vs AngersLigue 1Our call: Over 2.5 goals · 62% | Ligue 1 | Over 2.5 goals | 96% | 83% | 62% | 40% | B |
| Lorient vs BrestLigue 1Our call: Over 2.5 goals · 51% | Ligue 1 | Over 2.5 goals | 93% | 76% | 51% | 29% | A |
| Estac Troyes vs Le MansLigue 1Our call: Over 2.5 goals · 60% | Ligue 1 | Over 2.5 goals | 95% | 82% | 60% | 37% | A |
| Barcelona vs AlavesLa LigaOur call: Over 3.5 goals · 61% | La Liga | Over 3.5 goals | 97% | 94% | 80% | 61% | A |
| Aston Villa vs FulhamPremier LeagueOur call: Over 3.5 goals · 53% | Premier League | Over 3.5 goals | 97% | 90% | 73% | 53% | A |
| Lazio vs CagliariSerie AOur call: Over 3.5 goals · 52% | Serie A | Over 3.5 goals | 96% | 91% | 73% | 52% | A |
| Sassuolo vs FiorentinaSerie AOur call: Over 3.5 goals · 58% | Serie A | Over 3.5 goals | 97% | 93% | 77% | 58% | A |
| Juventus vs NapoliSerie AOur call: Over 2.5 goals · 67% | Serie A | Over 2.5 goals | 95% | 88% | 67% | 46% | A |
| Atalanta vs Parma Calcio 1913Serie AOur call: Over 2.5 goals · 67% | Serie A | Over 2.5 goals | 95% | 88% | 67% | 45% | A |
| Frosinone vs TorinoSerie AOur call: Over 3.5 goals · 53% | Serie A | Over 3.5 goals | 96% | 91% | 73% | 53% | A |
| Lecce vs GenoaSerie AOur call: Over 2.5 goals · 58% | Serie A | Over 2.5 goals | 93% | 82% | 58% | 36% | A |
| Como vs VeneziaSerie AOur call: Over 3.5 goals · 73% | Serie A | Over 3.5 goals | 99% | 97% | 87% | 73% | A |
| Deportivo La Coruna vs OsasunaLa LigaOur call: Over 2.5 goals · 61% | La Liga | Over 2.5 goals | 94% | 84% | 61% | 39% | A |
| Elche vs ValenciaLa LigaOur call: Over 2.5 goals · 61% | La Liga | Over 2.5 goals | 94% | 84% | 61% | 38% | A |
| Getafe vs SevillaLa LigaOur call: Over 2.5 goals · 52% | La Liga | Over 2.5 goals | 91% | 79% | 52% | 30% | A |
| Racing Santander vs Real MadridLa LigaOur call: Over 3.5 goals · 67% | La Liga | Over 3.5 goals | 98% | 95% | 83% | 67% | A |
| Athletic Club vs Real SociedadLa LigaOur call: Over 2.5 goals · 66% | La Liga | Over 2.5 goals | 95% | 87% | 66% | 45% | A |
| Liverpool vs ArsenalPremier LeagueOur call: Over 2.5 goals · 65% | Premier League | Over 2.5 goals | 95% | 86% | 65% | 43% | B |
| Newcastle United vs EvertonPremier LeagueOur call: Over 2.5 goals · 62% | Premier League | Over 2.5 goals | 94% | 84% | 62% | 40% | A |
| Deportivo La Coruna vs OsasunaLa LigaOur call: Over 2.5 goals · 61% | La Liga | Over 2.5 goals | 94% | 84% | 61% | 39% | A |
The bold cell is the highest line the model still makes odds-on for that fixture; the other cells are the same ladder read off the same grid. Grade A/B = the fixture is backed by both/one team’s xG record. The over 2.5 column is the same number our Over/Under page publishes; both are read off one scoreline grid. No bookmaker prices are shown on this page: we only record odds for 1X2, so an edge for this market would be invented.
Probability distribution
56 priced fixtures · GoalsEach bar counts the fixtures whose top selection in this market falls in that probability band — the model’s own spread, not a forecast of how often it is right. Bands are 10 percentage points wide. 35 of 56 sit at 60% or higher.
Other markets for the same fixtures
Every market on this site is priced from one model, so these pages cover the same matches from a different angle.